I ran into this today while installing a plug-in for a customer. A bit of research turned up articles by Ronald and George which ultimately led me to the following KB article.
The problem lies within the fact this installation has CRM on port 81, so the URL being used internally by the plug-in is incorrect. Here is the solution, as identified in the KB article:
Additionally, create a LocalSdkHost registry key on the Microsoft Dynamics CRM 4.0 server. To do this, follow these steps:
HKEY_LOCAL_MACHINE\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\MSCRM
The LocalSdkPort value was already in place and correct. After the addition of the LocalSdkHost value, everything worked as expected.
Note: Hotfix rollup 1 was installed on the server