Hi Chris,
We are coping despite the lockdowns here in our country. I hope you and your family are also doing well.
I would like to revisit your suggestion that AML would use the historical demand as basis data to run AML. I noticed that if I use AML as forecast generation strategy, the forecast is calculated per forecast bucket (say monthly). even if the historical demand for a product is zero for that month, AML will still calculate a non-zero value as forecast. It's as if AML is ignoring the zeroes in historical demand.
To elaborate, I have a product with a historical demand of 100 pcs for the month of Feb 2020 only and none for the rest of 2020. If I generate a forecast using AML for 2021, the system will calculate a forecast value of 100 pcs every month which is very far from the historical demand. I tried using weekly and daily as forecast buckets and the outcomes are the same. 100 pcs every forecast bucket.
I tried manipulating the forecast models and other parameters but I still get the same result. The client doesnt want to use Copy over historical forecast as generation strategy.
What can you suggest so that the forecast using AML will be more accurate?
Thank you again. and Stay safe.
Eric
